Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Newell's Old Boys Res. or draw
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since only a 10% away win would defeat it.
- Newell's strong home record of ten wins in fourteen, with nine clean sheets, supports the home side's inclusion in the double chance.
- Estudiantes' superior recent form and away wins show they are not harmless, which explains why the draw carries equal weight to a home win.
- Identical defensive ratings of 50 suggest neither side holds a clear edge, reinforcing the caution behind covering both outcomes.
- Newell's head-to-head and Poisson advantages lean home, but Estudiantes' better form and away scoring keep the draw plausible.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles, with most matches under 2.5 goals, make a tight contest consistent with the double-chance selection.
- Predicted winner
- Newell's Old Boys Res.
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Newell's Old Boys Res. or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Newell's Old Boys Res. | Estudiantes La Plata Res |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Recent form: LDWWLWWWLDWWWDWLWDLDDDWLLLLWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Recent form: DDWLWLLLDWDLWWWLWWWDWWDLWWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Estudiantes La Plata Res 0–2 Newell's Old Boys Res. (07 May 2026)
- Newell's Old Boys Res. 2–0 Estudiantes La Plata Res (16 Sep 2025)
- Estudiantes La Plata Res 3–0 Newell's Old Boys Res. (15 Apr 2025)
- Estudiantes La Plata Res 2–2 Newell's Old Boys Res. (02 Oct 2024)
- Estudiantes La Plata Res 2–2 Newell's Old Boys Res. (17 Jun 2024)