World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Netherlands U21 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 Prediction
· De Vijverberg
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Netherlands U21 or draw
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 carries only a 10% win probability.
- Netherlands U21's superior attack and Poisson ratings align with the home-favoured prediction, though the level head-to-head split tempers any expectation of outright dominance.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina U21's five failed-to-score results and 0.40 goals-per-game average sharply limit their scoring threat, supporting the low away win probability.
- The goalless head-to-head draw and Bosnia-Herzegovina U21's four draws in seven matches suggest a tight contest, which explains why the draw probability matches the home win.
- Netherlands U21's stronger recent form and higher clean-sheet count reinforce their edge, but away losses show vulnerability that keeps the draw plausible.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina U21's heavy 6-1 away defeat and late-goal concessions indicate defensive fragility, yet their away clean sheets show they can still frustrate opponents.
- Predicted winner
- Netherlands U21
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Netherlands U21 or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Netherlands U21 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Attack | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Defence | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 61.6% | 38.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Netherlands U21
Recent form: DDWLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
Recent form: DDWLDDL.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 0–0 Netherlands U21 (10 Oct 2025)


