3. liga - CFL B · Czech-Republic
Neratovice-Byškovice vs Čáslav Prediction
· Fotbalovy areal Neratovice
Neratovice-Byškovice vs 
Čáslav
Current score: Neratovice-Byškovice 0–0 Čáslav (First Half)
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Neratovice-Byškovice with a double chance, yet its 35% home win, 35% draw and 30% away split shows how little separates the sides. The comparison metrics reinforce that tension: Neratovice-Byškovice lead on form (56 vs 44), attack (56 vs 44) and defence (59 vs 41), but the Poisson measure is dead level at 50–50 and the head-to-head score swings sharply to Čáslav at 80–20. That head-to-head edge rests on only two old meetings, a 2–2 cup draw in 2022 and a 3–2 Čáslav friendly win in 2020, so it may reflect history more than current form. Recent league results support the home side's broader trend, since Neratovice-Byškovice's last five include draws with Sokol Brozany and Hradec Králové II plus a 1–2 loss to Varnsdorf, but also two 0–4 home defeats. Čáslav's last five look similarly unstable, with a 2–1 win over Horní Ředice and a 2–2 draw at Chrudim offset by a 0–2 home loss to Benátky nad Jizerou and a 7–0 collapse at Pardubice II. The goals analysis explains why the advice is cautious rather than confident: Neratovice-Byškovice average 0.90 goals for and 2.30 against, while Čáslav average 0.70 for and 2.20 against, and neither team has exceeded 2.5 goals in any of their matches. Both teams have also failed to score in three or four of their games respectively, and Čáslav's missed penalty record (one attempt, 100% missed) adds another note of unreliability. With the home side winless at home across three attempts and Čáslav winless away across three, the draw component of the double chance looks as plausible as the home win, which is consistent with the model's near-even probabilities.
- Predicted winner
- Neratovice-Byškovice
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Neratovice-Byškovice or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Neratovice-Byškovice | Čáslav |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Poisson | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Neratovice-Byškovice
Recent form: LDWLDLD.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Čáslav
Recent form: DLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Neratovice-Byškovice 2–2 Čáslav (30 Jul 2022)
- Čáslav 3–2 Neratovice-Byškovice (15 Aug 2020)