Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast
Neftochimic Burgas vs Sayana Haskovo Prediction
· efbet Arena
Match prediction
- The model's near-even probabilities, with home and draw each at 35%, justify the double-chance advice rather than a straight win.
- Neftochimic's strong home record, three wins and three clean sheets in four, supports the home side of that double chance.
- Sayana's superior overall form and away defence, conceding once in three, keep the draw a live component of the advice.
- Neftochimic's attack-versus-defence edge is offset by Sayana's better Poisson and form ratings, explaining why the model avoids a single winner.
- The head-to-head record favours Neftochimic heavily, but the recent goalless draw at this venue tempers that historical edge.
- Both teams' low-scoring recent matches suggest a tight contest, reinforcing the caution behind covering both home win and draw.
- Predicted winner
- Neftochimic Burgas
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Neftochimic Burgas or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Neftochimic Burgas | Sayana Haskovo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Poisson | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Neftochimic Burgas
Recent form: LDWLLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Sayana Haskovo
Recent form: WDWLDWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Neftochimic Burgas 0–0 Sayana Haskovo (24 Apr 2026)
- Sayana Haskovo 1–2 Neftochimic Burgas (22 Oct 2025)


