Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast

Neftochimic Burgas vs Sayana Haskovo Prediction

· efbet Arena

Neftochimic Burgas badgeNeftochimic Burgas vs Sayana Haskovo badgeSayana Haskovo

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even probabilities, with home and draw each at 35%, justify the double-chance advice rather than a straight win.
  • Neftochimic's strong home record, three wins and three clean sheets in four, supports the home side of that double chance.
  • Sayana's superior overall form and away defence, conceding once in three, keep the draw a live component of the advice.
  • Neftochimic's attack-versus-defence edge is offset by Sayana's better Poisson and form ratings, explaining why the model avoids a single winner.
  • The head-to-head record favours Neftochimic heavily, but the recent goalless draw at this venue tempers that historical edge.
  • Both teams' low-scoring recent matches suggest a tight contest, reinforcing the caution behind covering both home win and draw.
Predicted winner
Neftochimic Burgas
Betting advice
Double chance : Neftochimic Burgas or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorNeftochimic BurgasSayana Haskovo
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence20.0%80.0%
Poisson41.0%59.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total52.2%47.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Neftochimic Burgas

Recent form: LDWLLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Sayana Haskovo

Recent form: WDWLDWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Neftochimic Burgas 0–0 Sayana Haskovo (24 Apr 2026)
  2. Sayana Haskovo 1–2 Neftochimic Burgas (22 Oct 2025)
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