Neftchi vs Xorazm Prediction
· Istiqlol Stadium
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Neftchi
Match prediction
- Neftchi's dominant form, attack, and head-to-head edges justify the home-winner advice, though the model's 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Xorazm's weak away scoring and frequent failures to score make an upset unlikely, supporting Neftchi despite the modest win probability.
- Neftchi's strong home defence and Xorazm's low-scoring attack suggest a controlled, low-goal match rather than a rout.
- Xorazm's tendency to concede late, combined with Neftchi's second-half scoring concentration, points to Neftchi breaking through after the interval.
- The head-to-head record favours Neftchi overall, but Xorazm's recent win in this fixture tempers confidence in a straightforward home victory.
- Neftchi's occasional heavy defeat shows vulnerability, so the draw probability remains a legitimate risk to the win-only advice.
- Predicted winner
- Neftchi
- Betting advice
- Winner : Neftchi
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Neftchi | Xorazm |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| Attack | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Defence | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Poisson | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 75.2% | 24.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Neftchi
Recent form: WWWWWLWWWWDWWDDWWLWLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Xorazm
Recent form: LWDLWDDWLDLLLWLWDLLLDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Xorazm 0–2 Neftchi (24 Apr 2026)
- Xorazm 2–0 Neftchi (30 Nov 2025)
- Neftchi 2–0 Xorazm (07 Jul 2025)
- Neftchi 3–1 Xorazm (26 Apr 2021)
- Neftchi 3–2 Xorazm (23 Jun 2020)