NC Magra vs US Chaouia Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives US Chaouia a 50% draw and 50% away-win probability with 0% for an NC Magra home win, so the advice is a double chance on draw or US Chaouia rather than an outright away victory. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where US Chaouia lead on form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (100.00 vs 0.00), defence (75.00 vs 25.00), head-to-head (100.00 vs 0.00) and the overall goals and total columns (75.00 vs 25.00), while the Poisson column is level at 0.00 for both sides and therefore offers no separating signal. The team analysis reinforces the same direction but on extremely thin samples: NC Magra have played once and lost, failing to score while conceding three in a 3-0 away defeat, whereas US Chaouia have played once and drawn 1-1 at home, scoring once and conceding once. The goals analysis shows NC Magra averaging 0.00 goals for and 3.00 against, with their single match going over 2.5 goals, while US Chaouia average 1.00 for and 1.00 against, with their match staying under 2.5. The last-five records add a broader, though still modest, context: NC Magra have lost four of five, including 0-3, 0-2 and 0-4 defeats, with their only win a 1-0 home result against Teleghma, so their attacking output across that run has been almost non-existent. US Chaouia's last five are more mixed, with two wins, two draws and one loss, including a 3-1 home win over JS Jijel and a 2-1 away win at Usm El Harrach, which suggests they are capable of scoring but not dominant enough to make an outright win the model's choice. The head-to-head record is short but consistent with the advice: US Chaouia won 2-1 at home in February 2026 and also won 1-0 away at NC Magra in September 2025, giving them both wins in the two meetings. The main tension is that the 50-50 split between draw and away win, combined with the level Poisson values, means the model is not treating US Chaouia as a clear favourite despite their superior form, defensive and head-to-head numbers, and the very small sample sizes for both teams mean these trends should be treated as indicative rather than reliable.

Predicted winner

US Chaouia

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or US Chaouia

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. US Chaouia 2–1 NC Magra (07 Feb 2026)
2. NC Magra 0–1 US Chaouia (26 Sep 2025)