Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain

Naval Reinosa vs Laredo Prediction

Naval Reinosa badgeNaval Reinosa vs Laredo badgeLaredo

Match prediction

The existing model output points to Laredo as the winner, with probabilities of 0% for a Naval Reinosa win and 50% each for a draw and an away victory, so the advice is best read as a lean rather than a decisive edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Laredo dominates form (86.00 vs 14.00), attack (71.00 vs 29.00), defence (75.00 vs 25.00) and Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), yet the head-to-head, goals and total splits are all level at 0.00, and the overall totals of 22.70 against 77.30 show the gap is real but not absolute. Naval Reinosa's team analysis explains the weak side of that picture: a DLL form line across three matches with no wins, one draw and two defeats, including a 0-3 home loss and a 3-2 away defeat, plus only one clean sheet and two failures to score. Laredo's LWW record over the same three games, with two wins and one loss, two clean sheets and no blanks, gives the away side the stronger platform, although the defeat to Tropezón shows they are not untouchable. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, as Naval Reinosa have scored twice but conceded six, an average of 2.00 against per game, while Laredo have scored five and conceded only two, an average of 0.70 against, with both of Laredo's goals against arriving in the 31-45 and 76-90 windows. Naval Reinosa's last five record is incomplete, showing only three matches, all without a win, whereas Laredo's five-match sequence includes three wins, two defeats and three clean sheets, which supports the away lean but also flags their capacity to lose. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to confirm or contradict the model's preference, and the 50% draw probability is a meaningful qualification because a single point would still be consistent with much of the form and goals evidence. Overall, the evidence coheres around Laredo being the more reliable side, but the small three-match samples, the missing head-to-head data and the even draw probability mean the prediction should be treated as a plausible lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner
Laredo
Betting advice
Winner : Laredo
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorNaval ReinosaLaredo
Form14.0%86.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total22.7%77.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Naval Reinosa

Recent form: DLL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Laredo

Recent form: LWW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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