Nassaji Mazandaran vs ZOB Ahan Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the logical core of the advice, since the home win is priced at only 10%.
• Nassaji's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings conflict with that away-leaning probability, so the draw leg absorbs the home side's underlying strength.
• ZOB Ahan's 71% head-to-head and 67% goals edge support their inclusion, though recent meetings show draws and low-scoring away wins rather than dominance.
• Both teams' goal logs sit entirely under 3.5 in every match, reinforcing the -3.5 goals component as the safer half of the combination.
• ZOB Ahan's away record of no wins and 1.30 goals conceded per away game tempers the away leg, which is why the draw is paired rather than a straight away pick.
• Nassaji's three failures to score and modest 0.60 goals per game suggest a low-event match, aligning the goal line with the uncertain result.

Predicted winner

ZOB Ahan

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or ZOB Ahan and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Nassaji Mazandaran 0–3 ZOB Ahan (15 May 2025)
2. ZOB Ahan 0–0 Nassaji Mazandaran (02 Jan 2025)
3. ZOB Ahan 0–2 Nassaji Mazandaran (01 May 2024)
4. Nassaji Mazandaran 1–2 ZOB Ahan (12 Nov 2023)
5. ZOB Ahan 1–0 Nassaji Mazandaran (13 Mar 2023)