Naples vs Richmond Kickers Prediction
· Paradise Coast Sports Complex
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Naples or draw
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% home win justify double chance rather than an outright Naples pick, since Richmond's 10% away probability is negligible.
- Naples' strong home record of eight wins in fourteen contrasts with Richmond's single away win, supporting the home side's advantage.
- Richmond's attack rating of 64 exceeds Naples' 36, but their 2.90 away goals-against average undermines that threat.
- Naples' defensive rating of 72 against Richmond's 28 suggests the visitors will struggle to convert chances at Paradise Coast.
- Head-to-head favors Naples with two wins in three meetings, though Richmond's away victory in 2026 shows the fixture is not one-sided.
- Both teams' recent form is mixed, with Naples unbeaten in four and Richmond winning one of five, reinforcing the cautious double chance advice.
- Predicted winner
- Naples
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Naples or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Naples | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| Poisson | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Naples
Recent form: WDWLWWDLLLWLLLLLLLWLWWLLDDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Richmond Kickers
Recent form: DLLLWWWLDLLLLDLLLWWLDLLDLLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Richmond Kickers 0–1 Naples (21 Mar 2026)
- Richmond Kickers 1–2 Naples (03 Aug 2025)
- Naples 2–1 Richmond Kickers (13 Apr 2025)