Naples vs NY Cosmos Prediction
· Paradise Coast Sports Complex
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% NY Cosmos split makes double chance the logical expression of a genuinely two-sided contest.
- Naples' 10% win probability reflects a home side with only two away wins all season and a seven-game losing streak in its form record.
- NY Cosmos' superior attack rating and 100% head-to-head record support their edge, though a single prior meeting is a thin basis.
- Both teams' recent five-game sequences show alternating results, which tempers confidence in either side sustaining control.
- Naples' defensive record is marginally better at home, suggesting the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Late goals dominate both teams' scoring and conceding distributions, so the match may stay undecided until the closing stages.
- Predicted winner
- NY Cosmos
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or NY Cosmos
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Naples | NY Cosmos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Attack | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Naples
Recent form: WDWLWWDLLLWLLLLLLLWLWWLLDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
NY Cosmos
Recent form: LLLWWDLLLLLLLWDLLLWWDDLWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- NY Cosmos 1–0 Naples (09 Jul 2026)