Nantes W vs Montpellier W Prediction
· Stade Marcel Saupin
Match prediction
- Montpellier's stronger form and attack ratings support the double-chance advice, though the model splits win and draw probabilities evenly at 45 percent.
- Nantes have failed to score in both away matches and average only 0.3 goals, reinforcing the low-scoring under 3.5 goals component.
- Montpellier's goals are concentrated in the 16-45 minute window, suggesting early scoring could arrive without producing a high total.
- Head-to-head results are perfectly balanced with two draws and one win each, which tempers confidence in an outright Montpellier victory.
- Montpellier's away form is weak, losing their only away match without scoring, so the draw half of the double chance carries real weight.
- Both teams' recent matches mostly stayed under 3.5 goals, supporting the combined advice despite Montpellier's 5-1 home win.
- Predicted winner
- Montpellier W
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Montpellier W and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Nantes W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Attack | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Nantes W
Recent form: LDL.
Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.
Montpellier W
Recent form: WLD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Nantes W 2–2 Montpellier W (21 Feb 2026)
- Montpellier W 1–2 Nantes W (06 Dec 2025)
- Nantes W 2–2 Montpellier W (22 Mar 2025)
- Montpellier W 1–0 Nantes W (15 Nov 2024)


