Naft Maysan vs Erbil Prediction

Match prediction

• Erbil's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head metrics justify the model's 45% away win probability and the draw-or-Erbil double chance.
• Naft Maysan's 10% win probability reflects one win in eight, four draws, and only three clean sheets, all at home.
• Erbil's six clean sheets and zero away goals conceded support the -3.5 goals component, though their single loss shows residual risk.
• The 45% draw probability matches Naft Maysan's four draws and Erbil's two, plus three drawn head-to-head meetings, making the double chance prudent.
• Both teams' goal totals staying under 3.5 in every match this season reinforces the low-scoring expectation behind the -3.5 goals advice.
• Erbil's head-to-head dominance and away form outweigh Naft Maysan's home clean sheets, keeping the draw-or-Erbil combination the safer angle.

Predicted winner

Erbil

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Erbil and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Naft Maysan 0–0 Erbil (27 Mar 2026)
2. Erbil 1–0 Naft Maysan (31 Dec 2025)
3. Erbil 3–2 Naft Maysan (07 May 2025)
4. Naft Maysan 1–1 Erbil (30 Nov 2024)
5. Erbil 2–0 Naft Maysan (19 Jun 2024)