Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund Prediction

Match prediction

• Karlslund's stronger attack and Poisson edge support the away-favoured advice, though the model splits win and draw evenly at 45 percent each.
• Nacka Iliria's poor form and weak attack rating explain their low 10 percent win probability, making the double chance the safer expression.
• Karlslund's superior defensive record and six clean sheets suggest they can limit a Nacka side averaging just 1.10 goals per game.
• Both teams concede heavily late, so Karlslund's 40 percent of goals in the final 15 minutes could prove decisive.
• Head-to-head favours Nacka historically, a conflicting signal that justifies covering the draw rather than backing Karlslund outright.
• Karlslund's recent form includes two wins and two draws, contrasting Nacka's inconsistency and reinforcing the draw-or-away recommendation.

Predicted winner

Karlslund

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Karlslund

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Karlslund 2–1 Nacka Iliria (24 May 2026)
2. Karlslund 1–2 Nacka Iliria (30 Sep 2023)
3. Nacka Iliria 1–0 Karlslund (28 May 2023)