Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2
Muttenz vs Black Stars Prediction
Match prediction
- Muttenz and Black Stars share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the double chance advice reflects a genuinely balanced outcome rather than a clear home edge.
- Muttenz's superior away form, three wins from four, offsets their weaker home record and supports the cautious draw-inclusive advice.
- Black Stars' five draws in eight matches, including two recent stalemates, reinforce the draw component of the double chance.
- Muttenz's stronger attack and Poisson metrics favour them, but Black Stars' superior defence keeps the outright win probability capped at 45%.
- Head-to-head results are split with both teams winning at home, so recent meetings offer no decisive edge beyond Muttenz's overall 71% h2h score.
- Black Stars' low scoring, just six goals in eight games, limits their win potential and supports avoiding an away-only bet.
- Predicted winner
- Muttenz
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Muttenz or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Muttenz | Black Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Muttenz
Recent form: LWWLDWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Black Stars
Recent form: DDLDWDLD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Black Stars 0–4 Muttenz (30 May 2026)
- Muttenz 2–1 Black Stars (22 Nov 2025)
- Muttenz 1–0 Black Stars (19 Feb 2025)
- Black Stars 3–1 Muttenz (04 Aug 2024)
- Muttenz 0–0 Black Stars (25 Nov 2023)