Münsingen vs Muttenz Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Muttenz as the winner, yet its own probabilities place that outcome at only 45%, exactly level with the draw and far above Münsingen's 10%, so the advice is best read as a marginal lean rather than a clear edge. The comparison metrics reinforce that lean almost everywhere except head-to-head: Muttenz leads form 78 to 22, attack 62 to 38, defence 70 to 30, Poisson 82 to 18 and the aggregate total 64 to 36, while the head-to-head split sits at a dead 50-50. That 50-50 head-to-head is the main qualifier, because the six recorded meetings produced three draws, two Muttenz wins and one Münsingen win, including a goalless draw in the most recent encounter and a 3-2 Muttenz home win before it. The team records explain why the form gap is so wide: Münsingen have no wins in seven matches (two draws, five defeats, form LLLDLDL), whereas Muttenz have three wins, one draw and three defeats from the same seven games, with a two-match winning streak showing they can string results together. Münsingen's goal profile is the weakest part of their case, since they average 0.90 scored and 2.70 conceded per game, including 3.70 conceded per away match, and they have failed to score in three of seven outings. Muttenz's numbers are less extreme but more balanced, with 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded per game on average, a 2.00 away scoring average, and only two failures to score, although their home scoring average of 1.00 shows the attack is not consistently prolific. The last-five records add nuance rather than pure confirmation: Münsingen's run includes a 3-3 home draw with Schötz and a 0-0 with Black Stars but also heavy defeats such as 4-0 at Courtételle and 4-1 at Thun II, while Muttenz mixed a 3-0 away win at Concordia Basel and a 3-1 home win over Buochs with a 1-3 home loss to Courtételle and a 2-1 defeat at Langenthal. The goals-analysis detail is only partly available, since the minute-by-minute distributions are empty, but the under-over splits suggest low-scoring tendencies: Muttenz stayed under 2.5 total goals in five of seven matches, and Münsingen's matches went over 2.5 goals against them in five of seven, which is consistent with their defensive leakage. Taken together, the broad statistical trend favours Muttenz, but the drawn head-to-head history and the model's own 45% draw probability mean the existing advice carries real uncertainty rather than a comfortable margin.

Predicted winner

Muttenz

Betting advice

Winner : Muttenz

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Münsingen 0–0 Muttenz (18 Mar 2026)
2. Muttenz 3–2 Münsingen (30 Aug 2025)
3. Muttenz 0–3 Münsingen (15 Mar 2025)
4. Münsingen 1–1 Muttenz (25 Aug 2024)
5. Münsingen 1–1 Muttenz (25 May 2024)