Iraq · Iraqi League

Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Mosul badgeMosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya badgeAl Quwa Al Jawiya

Match prediction

  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the model's near-equal split signals limited separation.
  • Mosul's 10% win probability aligns with a form line of one point from five and three straight defeats.
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya's five draws in eight matches explain why the draw carries equal weight to the away win.
  • The head-to-head record favors Al Quwa Al Jawiya, but two meetings is too small a sample to treat as decisive.
  • Mosul's attack scores 0.5 goals per away game while conceding 2.0, undermining any home advantage.
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya's away scoring of 2.0 goals per game supports the attacking edge, yet their winless home form tempers outright confidence.
Predicted winner
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorMosulAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Form17.0%83.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence41.0%59.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total33.8%66.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Mosul

Recent form: DWWLDLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Recent form: DDDDLWLD.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–1 Mosul (06 May 2026)
  2. Mosul 0–1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya (01 Feb 2026)
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