Móstoles vs Leganés II Prediction

Match prediction

• Móstoles' unbeaten four-match form and three clean sheets justify the home-or-draw double chance despite identical 35% home and draw probabilities.
• Leganés II's away form is winless with two losses, undermining their 30% away probability and supporting the double chance.
• Móstoles' defence rating of 83 against Leganés II's attack of 62 suggests the visitors may struggle to score, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals advice.
• Leganés II's attack rating of 62 and Móstoles' attack of 38 create tension, but Móstoles' superior defence and home form tip the balance.
• The head-to-head record favours Leganés II, yet recent form and defensive strength make the draw a plausible outcome within the double chance.
• Both teams' goal data show most matches staying under 3.5 goals, directly supporting the under 3.5 component of the advice.

Predicted winner

Móstoles

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Móstoles or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Móstoles 1–1 Leganés II (19 Apr 2026)
2. Leganés II 2–0 Móstoles (14 Dec 2025)
3. Móstoles 0–3 Leganés II (28 Apr 2024)
4. Leganés II 0–1 Móstoles (17 Dec 2023)
5. Leganés II 0–0 Móstoles (20 Feb 2022)