Norway · 1. Division

Moss vs Kongsvinger Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Kongsvinger and +1.5 goals

Moss badgeMoss vs Kongsvinger badgeKongsvinger

Match prediction

  • Kongsvinger's dominant form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics all point one way, supporting the away-winner component of the advice.
  • Moss concede heavily at 2.3 goals per game while Kongsvinger score 3.0, making the +1.5 goals leg of the combo well aligned.
  • Kongsvinger's recent away wins and high-scoring home form show an attack capable of covering the goal line even on the road.
  • The head-to-head record favours Kongsvinger, though Moss have won home meetings, so the away win carries some venue risk.
  • Moss's leaky defence and frequent losses outweigh their occasional scoring, keeping the goal-based combo more secure than a clean away result.
  • The model's 50/50 away-draw split with zero home probability signals confidence in Kongsvinger avoiding defeat rather than a guaranteed win.
Predicted winner
Kongsvinger
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Kongsvinger and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorMossKongsvinger
Form39.0%61.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence39.0%61.0%
Poisson26.0%74.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals30.0%70.0%
Total32.3%67.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Moss

Recent form: WWLWLLWDLDWLLLLLDLDLWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Kongsvinger

Recent form: WWWDWDWWLWWDLWWLWWWDWDW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Kongsvinger 2–1 Moss (18 Apr 2026)
  2. Moss 2–4 Kongsvinger (18 Oct 2025)
  3. Kongsvinger 6–0 Moss (21 Apr 2025)
  4. Moss 3–2 Kongsvinger (01 Dec 2024)
  5. Kongsvinger 0–0 Moss (16 Sep 2024)
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