Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Mosconia vs Andes Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans heavily toward Mosconia, assigning a 50% home win probability and a 50% draw while giving Andes no chance at 0%, which frames the advice of a Mosconia winner as the central output to be tested against the evidence. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Mosconia dominates form (88.00 vs 13.00), attack (78.00 vs 22.00), defence (83.00 vs 17.00) and the Poisson calculation (100.00 vs 0.00), though the head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all recorded at zero for both sides and therefore offer no separating signal. The team analysis supports the same direction but with important nuance: Mosconia's WWD form across three matches includes two wins and a draw with no defeats, while Andes' LLD reflects two losses and a draw without a win, so the gap in results is real but built on a very small sample. Mosconia's underlying numbers are notably strong, with seven goals scored at 2.30 per game and only one conceded at 0.30 per game, including two clean sheets, whereas Andes have scored just twice at 0.70 per game and conceded five at 1.70 per game without a single clean sheet. The goals analysis adds texture to that contrast, as Mosconia's scoring is split evenly between the 46-60 and 76-90 windows and their defensive record shows no more than one goal conceded in any match, while Andes have conceded across the 16-30, 46-60 and 76-90 periods, suggesting vulnerability that persists through the game. The last-five records qualify the headline form slightly, since Mosconia's most recent outings include a 0-0 draw at Condal and older defeats to Real Avilés and Covadonga, meaning their current three-match unbeaten run is shorter than the broader five-match picture implies. Andes' recent record is similarly mixed but weaker, with a 1-1 home draw against San Martín followed by a 0-2 loss at Siero and a 1-2 home defeat to Colunga, and their failure to score in one of three league matches underlines a limited attacking floor. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either confirm or contradict the model's read, which means the prediction rests almost entirely on current form and goal metrics rather than any direct matchup precedent. Taken together, the evidence consistently points toward Mosconia as the stronger side and supports the existing advice, but the 50% draw probability and the absence of head-to-head and goals-comparison data mean the conclusion should be treated as a directional lean rather than a certainty.
- Predicted winner
- Mosconia
- Betting advice
- Winner : Mosconia
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Mosconia | Andes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Attack | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Defence | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 83.0% | 17.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Mosconia
Recent form: WWD.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Andes
Recent form: LLD.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


