Morton vs Raith Rovers Prediction
· Cappielow Park
Match prediction
- Raith Rovers' far stronger recent form and superior attack and defence metrics justify favouring them, though the model's zero home win probability looks overstated given Morton's home advantage.
- Morton's winless record, with seven defeats in eight and no clean sheets, explains why the model gives them no chance of victory.
- Raith's four clean sheets and 100% penalty conversion reflect defensive solidity and set-piece reliability that support the double chance advice.
- The head-to-head record leans toward Raith but includes several draws, which supports the draw-or-Raith double chance rather than an outright away win.
- Morton's low scoring rate and heavy late concessions suggest they are unlikely to win, though a draw remains plausible given the venue and past stalemates.
- Predicted winner
- Raith Rovers
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Raith Rovers
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Morton | Raith Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13.0% | 88.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Poisson | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 23.8% | 76.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Morton
Recent form: LLLDLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Raith Rovers
Recent form: DWWLWWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Raith Rovers 3–2 Morton (11 Apr 2026)
- Morton 0–0 Raith Rovers (14 Feb 2026)
- Raith Rovers 1–1 Morton (01 Nov 2025)
- Morton 0–1 Raith Rovers (06 Sep 2025)
- Raith Rovers 1–1 Morton (26 Apr 2025)