Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Gévora Prediction
Match prediction
- Moralo's unbeaten four-match form and perfect home record justify the double-chance advice, though the model's 45% home win probability shows the draw is a genuine alternative.
- Gévora's away form is starkly split, with both defeats and a failure to score coming on the road, which supports Moralo avoiding defeat.
- Moralo's defensive edge is the clearest separator, conceding only one home goal while Gévora shipped five in a single away loss.
- The head-to-head is perfectly balanced with each side winning at home, so home advantage rather than dominance underpins the prediction.
- Gévora's away goals all came in one match, making their attacking threat unreliable and reinforcing the draw as the main risk to a home win.
- Both teams scoring in every Moralo match suggests goals are likely, but the model offers no under-over advice, so that trend should not be overread.
- Predicted winner
- Moralo
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Moralo or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Moralo | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Moralo
Recent form: WWWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Gévora
Recent form: LWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Gévora 2–1 Moralo (19 Apr 2026)
- Moralo 2–1 Gévora (14 Dec 2025)


