Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Montañesa vs L'Escala Prediction
Match prediction
- Montañesa's perfect home record and three clean sheets in four games underpin the defensive edge driving the double-chance advice.
- L'Escala's attack rates higher, but their defensive score of 17 against Montañesa's 83 suggests the hosts should avoid defeat.
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each, with L'Escala's 10 percent win probability explaining the cautious double chance.
- Every recent match for both sides stayed under 3.5 goals, directly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Head-to-head favours L'Escala overall, yet Montañesa won the most recent meeting, softening that historical counterweight.
- L'Escala concede heavily before halftime while Montañesa score late, a timing pattern that could keep the match low-scoring.
- Predicted winner
- Montañesa
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Montañesa or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Montañesa | L'Escala |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Montañesa
Recent form: WWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
L'Escala
Recent form: LWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Montañesa 2–1 L'Escala (08 Mar 2026)
- L'Escala 1–0 Montañesa (26 Oct 2025)
- L'Escala 3–1 Montañesa (16 Feb 2025)
- Montañesa 3–0 L'Escala (06 Oct 2024)
- L'Escala 3–1 Montañesa (03 Mar 2024)