Peru · Segunda División

Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Ayacucho FC

Molinos El Pirata badgeMolinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC badgeAyacucho FC

Match prediction

  • Ayacucho's superior form and attack ratings underpin the away-favoured advice, though the model splits win and draw probability evenly at 45 percent.
  • Molinos El Pirata's weak recent form and low attack rating explain why the model assigns them only a 10 percent win probability.
  • Ayacucho's defensive edge is modest rather than dominant, so the draw component of the double chance carries real weight.
  • Molinos El Pirata's stronger home scoring average suggests their low win probability may understate their attacking threat at home.
  • Head-to-head results show home advantage dominating, which tempers confidence in an outright Ayacucho win.
  • Both teams' low goal averages and heavy under-2.5 tendencies point toward a tight, low-scoring contest.
Predicted winner
Ayacucho FC
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Ayacucho FC
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorMolinos El PirataAyacucho FC
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2h40.0%60.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total41.5%58.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Molinos El Pirata

Recent form: DLWWWLWWLDLDLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Ayacucho FC

Recent form: LDLWDWDDLWLWLWLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Molinos El Pirata 3–1 Ayacucho FC (08 Sep 2024)
  2. Ayacucho FC 4–1 Molinos El Pirata (11 Aug 2024)
  3. Ayacucho FC 2–1 Molinos El Pirata (17 Aug 2023)
  4. Molinos El Pirata 2–0 Ayacucho FC (25 May 2023)
  5. Ayacucho FC 2–1 Molinos El Pirata (15 Nov 2019)
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