Molde W vs Stabæk W Prediction
· Aker Stadion
Match prediction
- Stabæk's superior form, attack, and Poisson metrics support the model's 45% away win probability, though the identical 45% draw share signals real uncertainty.
- Molde's weak home record and leaky defence, conceding 2.1 goals per home game, explain why the model gives them only a 10% win chance.
- Stabæk's 1.2 goals-against average and four clean sheets contrast with Molde's 1.9, reinforcing the away side's defensive edge.
- The lone head-to-head meeting, a Stabæk home win, offers directional support but is too small a sample to carry much weight.
- Molde's heavy late-game scoring concentration suggests they can threaten, yet Stabæk's stronger overall goal output still tilts the advice away.
- Stabæk's recent 7-1 and 5-1 wins show attacking upside, but a 4-2 loss at Rosenborg tempers confidence in a straightforward away victory.
- Predicted winner
- Stabæk W
- Betting advice
- Winner : Stabæk W
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Molde W | Stabæk W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 32.4% | 67.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Molde W
Recent form: LLDWLLWWLLDWDWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Stabæk W
Recent form: LDWDLWLLWWWLDWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Stabæk W 2–1 Molde W (13 Jun 2026)