Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC Prediction

Match prediction

• Newtown's 45% win probability and 45% draw probability justify the double-chance advice, since Mold's 10% leaves little room for a home upset.
• Newtown's defensive record of 0.30 goals conceded per game contrasts sharply with Mold's 1.20, supporting the away side's stronger overall profile.
• Mold's attack rating of 71 exceeds Newtown's 29, yet Newtown's six clean sheets in eight games suggest that attacking edge may not translate into goals.
• Both head-to-head meetings were won by the away team, a small sample that nonetheless aligns with the model's lean toward Newtown.
• Newtown's last five show four wins and a draw with only one goal conceded, reinforcing the defensive reliability behind the draw-or-away advice.
• Mold's unbeaten home record and 3.80 away goals per game indicate scoring potential, which explains why the draw carries equal probability to a Newtown win.

Predicted winner

Newtown AFC

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Newtown AFC

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Newtown AFC 1–2 Mold Alexandra (03 Apr 2026)
2. Mold Alexandra 1–3 Newtown AFC (08 Nov 2025)