Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation Prediction
Match prediction
- Busan Transportation's superior form, attack, defence, and head-to-head metrics support the model's pick, though the 45% draw probability signals real risk.
- Mokpo City's weak attack and leaky defence, especially away, explain why the model gives them only a 10% win chance.
- Busan's strong head-to-head record and higher scoring rate justify favouring them, but their recent away losses show the advice is not secure.
- Both teams' tendency toward late goals and Busan's leaky away defence suggest the match could be higher-scoring than a straightforward away win implies.
- The near-equal away win and draw probabilities indicate the model sees this as a close contest rather than a dominant Busan performance.
- Predicted winner
- Busan Transportation
- Betting advice
- Winner : Busan Transportation
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Mokpo City | Busan Transportation |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Attack | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Total | 35.5% | 64.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Mokpo City
Recent form: DDLDLDWDDLLLDDDLWLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Busan Transportation
Recent form: WWDLDDWWWWDLWDDLWWWLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Busan Transportation 3–0 Mokpo City (09 May 2026)
- Busan Transportation 2–1 Mokpo City (27 Jul 2025)
- Mokpo City 1–3 Busan Transportation (05 Apr 2025)
- Busan Transportation 2–0 Mokpo City (04 Oct 2024)
- Mokpo City 2–0 Busan Transportation (08 Jun 2024)