Mirandes vs Unionistas de Salamanca Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Mirandes, with a 45% home win probability and a matching 45% draw probability, leaving Unionistas de Salamanca at just 10%, and the advised combo of a Mirandes win with over 1.5 goals reflects that lean while acknowledging the unusually high draw share. That split is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Mirandes dominate form (70.00 vs 30.00), defence (65.00 vs 35.00) and the overall total (62.70 vs 37.30), though the attack gap is narrower at 53.00 vs 47.00 and the Poisson split is extreme at 100.00 to 0.00. The team analysis supports the defensive edge: Mirandes have lost only once in four games with a 2-0 home win and one clean sheet, while Unionistas have lost three straight and kept no clean sheets at all. Mirandes' goal profile is also more controlled, averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, whereas Unionistas average 1.80 scored but 2.80 conceded, including 2.70 per home game. The last-five records reinforce this, as Mirandes show two wins, a draw and two defeats with a 4-3 away win and a 2-2 draw, while Unionistas' only recent wins came at home against UD Ourense and Cacereño, with heavy losses to Real Unión and Lugo. The over 1.5 component of the advice looks well supported, since Mirandes have gone over 1.5 goals in three of four matches and Unionistas in two of four, and Unionistas have conceded at least twice in three of four. However, the head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to confirm or challenge the venue-specific pattern, and the 45% draw probability is a real qualification to a straight home-win read. The small four-game samples also mean the form and goal splits should be treated as early-season signals rather than settled trends, which is why the model's advice combines the win with a goals condition instead of backing Mirandes outright.

Predicted winner

Mirandes

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Mirandes and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.