Lithuania · 1 Lyga

Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris II Prediction

Minija badgeMinija vs Kauno Žalgiris II badgeKauno Žalgiris II

Match prediction

  • Minija's 21 wins from 24 matches and 12 clean sheets justify the home win advice despite the model splitting home and draw evenly at 45 percent.
  • The away side's 16 defeats and nine-game losing streak earlier this season sharply undercut any case for the 10 percent away probability.
  • Minija's 0.50 goals-against average against Kauno Žalgiris II's 1.60 shows a defensive gap that supports the home winner selection.
  • Recent form favors Minija with five straight wins, while the visitors' three wins in five came mostly at home, weakening their away threat.
  • Head-to-head is mixed across ten meetings, but Minija's 4-0 away win in April 2026 is the most recent and most relevant signal.
  • The 45 percent draw probability reflects residual uncertainty, yet Minija's perfect home record of 11 wins from 11 makes that outcome less likely.
Predicted winner
Minija
Betting advice
Winner : Minija
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorMinijaKauno Žalgiris II
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence71.0%29.0%
Poisson92.0%8.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total67.7%32.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Minija

Recent form: WWWWWWWWWWLDWWWWLWWWWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Kauno Žalgiris II

Recent form: LLLLLLLLLWWLLDLLLWLWWLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Kauno Žalgiris II 0–4 Minija (19 Apr 2026)
  2. Kauno Žalgiris II 1–2 Minija (13 Sep 2025)
  3. Minija 2–0 Kauno Žalgiris II (10 May 2025)
  4. Kauno Žalgiris II 2–1 Minija (03 Aug 2024)
  5. Minija 1–2 Kauno Žalgiris II (08 Mar 2024)
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