Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Millesimo vs Lascaris Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Lascaris in a double-chance draw-or-away combination with under 3.5 goals, expressed as 45% draw and 45% away against only 10% for Millesimo, so the advice is essentially a low-scoring, avoid-the-home-win position. That framing is supported by the comparison metrics, where Lascaris holds clear edges in form (57 versus 43), defence (80 versus 20) and the Poisson measure (100 versus 0), while Millesimo's only strong category is attack (67 versus 33). The team analysis adds nuance, since Millesimo's LWWL record includes two home wins and a 4-1 result but also two away defeats without scoring, whereas Lascaris is unbeaten at DWWD with three clean sheets and just one failure to score. The goals analysis reinforces the under angle: Millesimo averages 1.50 goals for and 1.00 against, with only one of four matches going over 2.5 goals, while Lascaris averages just 0.80 for and 0.30 against, and none of its four matches exceeded 1.5 total goals. Lascaris's defensive record is especially notable, conceding only once across four games and never more than one goal in a match, which helps explain why the model's total-goals and Poisson components tilt so heavily away from Millesimo. The last-five records, which contain four matches for each side, show Millesimo alternating between home wins and away losses, while Lascaris has two wins and two draws, suggesting a steadier but lower-scoring profile. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either confirm or contradict the model's lean, and the comparison's h2h and goals fields are correspondingly zero. The main tension is that Millesimo's attack score and its 4-1 home win suggest it can score, yet its away blanks and Lascaris's clean-sheet habit point toward a tight match, so the draw-or-Lascaris advice looks plausible but not certain. Overall, the evidence coheres around a low-scoring game with Lascaris favoured to avoid defeat, though the small four-match samples and missing head-to-head data mean the probabilities should be treated as indicative rather than definitive.
- Predicted winner
- Lascaris
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Lascaris and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Millesimo | Lascaris |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 43.3% | 56.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Millesimo
Recent form: LWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Lascaris
Recent form: DWWD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


