4. liga - Divizie A · Czech-Republic
Milevsko vs Spartak Soběslav Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Spartak Sobeslav as the winner, but its 45% away probability is matched exactly by a 45% draw probability, with Milevsko given only 10%, so the advice is best read as a lean rather than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Spartak dominates form (88.00 vs 13.00), attack (77.00 vs 23.00), head-to-head (88.00 vs 13.00), goals (64.00 vs 36.00) and total (74.40 vs 26.00), and the Poisson split is fully one-sided at 100.00 to 0.00, yet the defence gap is far narrower at 55.00 to 45.00. Milevsko's team analysis explains the pessimism: seven matches without a win, a record of two draws and five defeats, a four-game losing streak, and four failures to score, including three scoreless home outings. Their goals analysis shows just four goals in seven games (0.60 per match) and 13 conceded (1.90 per match), with no match exceeding 2.5 goals for them and only one clean sheet, so they rarely generate the scoring needed to convert draws into wins. Spartak's profile is the mirror image, with three wins, one draw and two losses from six, no failures to score, and 15 goals at 2.50 per match against 10 conceded at 1.70, although their zero clean sheets and 1.70 goals-against average suggest they are not defensively secure. The last-five records sharpen this contrast: Milevsko have one draw and four defeats, scoring only three goals while conceding eleven, whereas Spartak have two wins, one draw and two losses with ten scored and nine conceded, a mixed but clearly more productive run. The head-to-head record offers the strongest support for the existing advice, since Spartak won 2-1 away at Milevsko in May 2026 and 4-2 away in the 2025 cup, with the only non-win a 1-1 draw at their own ground. The main tension is therefore between Spartak's superior attacking output and head-to-head edge on one side, and their leaky defence plus the model's equal draw and away probabilities on the other, which together suggest the winner advice is plausible but far from certain.
- Predicted winner
- Spartak Soběslav
- Betting advice
- Winner : Spartak Soběslav
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Milevsko | Spartak Soběslav |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13.0% | 88.0% |
| Attack | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 13.0% | 88.0% |
| Goals | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Total | 26.0% | 74.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Milevsko
Recent form: LDLLLLD.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Spartak Soběslav
Recent form: WLLWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Milevsko 1–2 Spartak Soběslav (03 May 2026)
- Spartak Soběslav 1–1 Milevsko (04 Oct 2025)
- Milevsko 2–4 Spartak Soběslav (02 Aug 2025)


