Mexico vs Peru Prediction
Match prediction
- Mexico's unbeaten nine-match run and six clean sheets underpin the home win advice, though three draws show they are not always dominant.
- Peru's five-match form of one win and three defeats, conceding 2.4 goals per game, materially strengthens Mexico's case.
- The model's 50% draw probability is the main qualifier, since Mexico's recent draws and Peru's resilience suggest the win is not assured.
- Mexico's defensive record of 0.3 goals conceded per game contrasts sharply with Peru's leaky defence, favouring a controlled home performance.
- The sole head-to-head meeting, a 1-0 Mexico home win, offers limited but directionally supportive evidence for the prediction.
- Peru's attack averages just 1.2 goals and failed to score in one recent match, limiting their capacity to punish Mexico's occasional lapses.
- Predicted winner
- Mexico
- Betting advice
- Winner : Mexico
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Mexico | Peru |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Poisson | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 76.0% | 24.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Mexico
Recent form: WWWDDWWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Peru
Recent form: LDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Mexico 1–0 Peru (25 Sep 2022)