Mestre vs Campodarsego Prediction
Match prediction
- Campodarsego's 45% win and draw probabilities combine with Mestre's 10% to justify the double-chance advice despite equal recent form.
- Campodarsego's superior attack and defence ratings, plus a 71% head-to-head edge, support the away-leaning prediction.
- Mestre's unbeaten five-match run, including three draws, explains why the draw carries equal probability and the model avoids a straight win.
- Both teams' goal data show most matches exceeding 1.5 goals, supporting the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
- Campodarsego's away defensive vulnerability, conceding 2.5 per game, tempers confidence and justifies covering the draw.
- Mestre's strong Poisson rating conflicts with its weak head-to-head and scoring record, so the model hedges rather than backing a home result.
- Predicted winner
- Campodarsego
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Campodarsego and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Mestre | Campodarsego |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Poisson | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Mestre
Recent form: WDDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Campodarsego
Recent form: WLWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Mestre 0–1 Campodarsego (22 Mar 2026)
- Campodarsego 0–1 Mestre (09 Nov 2025)
- Mestre 0–2 Campodarsego (15 Jan 2025)
- Campodarsego 2–1 Mestre (18 Sep 2024)
- Mestre 1–1 Campodarsego (07 Apr 2024)