Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD vs Cacereño Prediction
· Estadio Romano Jose Fouto
Match prediction
- Cacereño's unbeaten five-match form and four clean sheets sharply contrast Mérida's four defeats, supporting the draw-or-away advice.
- Mérida's defensive score of 8 against Cacereño's 92 is the strongest single signal behind the away-leaning prediction.
- Mérida's attack score of 54 exceeds Cacereño's 46, a counterweight that helps explain why the draw probability matches the away win.
- Mérida's goals-against average of 3.00 at home, including late concessions, suggests Cacereño can score despite their modest away output.
- The head-to-head record splits evenly, weakening any claim of dominance and justifying the cautious double-chance advice.
- Cacereño's away form is draw-heavy with just one away goal, which tempers confidence in an outright away win.
- Predicted winner
- Cacereño
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Cacereño
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Mérida AD | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| Attack | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Defence | 8.0% | 92.0% |
| Poisson | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Mérida AD
Recent form: WLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Cacereño
Recent form: WDWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Mérida AD 1–0 Cacereño (22 Feb 2026)
- Cacereño 2–1 Mérida AD (20 Sep 2025)
- Cacereño 0–0 Mérida AD (12 Aug 2023)
- Cacereño 1–2 Mérida AD (24 Apr 2022)
- Mérida AD 0–1 Cacereño (05 Dec 2021)


