Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD vs Cacereño Prediction

· Estadio Romano Jose Fouto

Mérida AD badgeMérida AD vs Cacereño badgeCacereño

Match prediction

  • Cacereño's unbeaten five-match form and four clean sheets sharply contrast Mérida's four defeats, supporting the draw-or-away advice.
  • Mérida's defensive score of 8 against Cacereño's 92 is the strongest single signal behind the away-leaning prediction.
  • Mérida's attack score of 54 exceeds Cacereño's 46, a counterweight that helps explain why the draw probability matches the away win.
  • Mérida's goals-against average of 3.00 at home, including late concessions, suggests Cacereño can score despite their modest away output.
  • The head-to-head record splits evenly, weakening any claim of dominance and justifying the cautious double-chance advice.
  • Cacereño's away form is draw-heavy with just one away goal, which tempers confidence in an outright away win.
Predicted winner
Cacereño
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Cacereño
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorMérida ADCacereño
Form21.0%79.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence8.0%92.0%
Poisson39.0%61.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total37.0%63.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Mérida AD

Recent form: WLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Cacereño

Recent form: WDWWD.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Mérida AD 1–0 Cacereño (22 Feb 2026)
  2. Cacereño 2–1 Mérida AD (20 Sep 2025)
  3. Cacereño 0–0 Mérida AD (12 Aug 2023)
  4. Cacereño 1–2 Mérida AD (24 Apr 2022)
  5. Mérida AD 0–1 Cacereño (05 Dec 2021)
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