Meppen II vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Spelle-Venhaus with a “win or draw” double chance and a +1.5 goals line, assigning 45% to both the away win and the draw while leaving Meppen II at just 10%. That caution about a home win is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Spelle-Venhaus dominates form (75 vs 25), defence (75 vs 25) and Poisson (91 vs 9), although the attack scores are level at 50 and the head-to-head metric actually favours Meppen II 71 to 29. The head-to-head record helps explain that split, since Meppen II won the two most recent meetings on their own ground (3-1 in October 2025 and 2-1 in November 2024), while Spelle-Venhaus won 2-0 away in May 2025 and the latest encounter in April 2026 finished 1-1. Those results suggest the fixture has been competitive rather than one-sided, which qualifies the strong Poisson and form signals and supports the draw component of the advice. The team analysis sharpens the contrast: Meppen II have one win, one draw and five defeats from seven, with no clean sheets and a 0-5 home loss among their results, whereas Spelle-Venhaus are unbeaten with four wins and three draws, including a 5-0 home win and two clean sheets. The goals analysis points the same way, as Meppen II concede 3.10 per game overall and 4.00 at home, while Spelle-Venhaus concede only 1.00 per game and have kept opponents to two goals or fewer in every match. The last-five records confirm the gap in current form, with Meppen II losing four of five (1-3, 0-5, 2-3, 3-5) around a single 3-2 win, while Spelle-Venhaus are unbeaten across five with two wins and three draws. The +1.5 goals element looks well supported because Meppen II have scored in five of seven and conceded in all seven, and Spelle-Venhaus have scored in all seven, so a low-scoring shutout is not the base case. Overall, the evidence points to Spelle-Venhaus avoiding defeat as the more likely outcome, but the head-to-head record and the 45% draw probability mean the draw half of the double chance should not be treated as a formality.

Predicted winner

Spelle-Venhaus

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Spelle-Venhaus and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Spelle-Venhaus 1–1 Meppen II (10 Apr 2026)
2. Meppen II 3–1 Spelle-Venhaus (10 Oct 2025)
3. Spelle-Venhaus 0–2 Meppen II (10 May 2025)
4. Meppen II 2–1 Spelle-Venhaus (03 Nov 2024)
5. Spelle-Venhaus 2–1 Meppen II (13 Jan 2024)