Meerbusch vs KFC Uerdingen 05 Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward KFC Uerdingen 05 as the winner, but its 45% away probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, with Meerbusch given only 10%, so the advice is far from a clear-cut call. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Uerdingen lead on form (78 vs 22), attack (83 vs 17), Poisson (87 vs 13), head-to-head (71 vs 29) and overall totals (71.5 vs 28.5), yet the goals split is much narrower at 53 vs 47. The team analysis explains this tension: Meerbusch have gone six games without a win (two draws, four defeats) and have failed to score in five of six, while Uerdingen have three wins, one draw and two losses, including a 6-1 home win and a 5-1 away win. Meerbusch's goal data are stark, with just two goals scored all season (0.30 per game) and 11 conceded (1.80 per game), whereas Uerdingen average 2.50 scored and 1.20 conceded, though their zero clean sheets in six suggest they rarely shut opponents out. The last-five records add nuance rather than certainty: Meerbusch have lost three, drawn two and scored only twice in that span, while Uerdingen's sequence of a 1-0 loss, a 1-1 draw, two wins and a 2-1 defeat shows they are productive but not invincible. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed, with Uerdingen winning the most recent meeting 2-1 away, Meerbusch winning 3-1 at home in 2024, Uerdingen winning 4-3 in 2023 and two 1-1 draws before that, so past encounters do not point to dominance. Taken together, the broad statistical trends favour Uerdingen, but Meerbusch's habit of grinding out goalless draws and Uerdingen's lack of clean sheets mean a low-scoring draw is a plausible outcome consistent with the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities. The goals analysis also lacks minute-by-minute breakdowns, so no timing patterns can be assessed, and the under/over markets show Uerdingen's games split evenly on the 1.5 and 2.5 lines while Meerbusch's have stayed under 2.5 in all six.

Predicted winner

KFC Uerdingen 05

Betting advice

Winner : KFC Uerdingen 05

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Meerbusch 1–2 KFC Uerdingen 05 (29 May 2026)
2. KFC Uerdingen 05 2–1 Meerbusch (07 Dec 2025)
3. Meerbusch 3–1 KFC Uerdingen 05 (21 Apr 2024)
4. KFC Uerdingen 05 4–3 Meerbusch (21 Oct 2023)
5. KFC Uerdingen 05 1–1 Meerbusch (01 Apr 2023)