Algeria · Ligue 1

MC Oran vs ES Setif Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : MC Oran or draw and -3.5 goals

MC Oran badgeMC Oran vs ES Setif badgeES Setif

Match prediction

  • MC Oran's perfect start, two wins with clean sheets, supports the home-or-draw advice despite ES Setif's stronger attack rating.
  • ES Setif's defence rating of zero and two losses in three games undercut their away chances, reinforcing the low away probability.
  • Both teams' recent matches stayed under 3.5 goals, aligning with the under advice even though ES Setif scored five once at home.
  • Head-to-head is evenly split, but home advantage has dominated this fixture, which supports backing MC Oran rather than a clear win.
  • The draw probability matching the home win suggests genuine uncertainty, so the double chance correctly hedges against a stalemate.
  • ES Setif failed to score in two of three league games, weakening their attacking threat and supporting the low-scoring expectation.
Predicted winner
MC Oran
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : MC Oran or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorMC OranES Setif
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total51.3%49.0%

Team form and goal analysis

MC Oran

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

ES Setif

Recent form: LLW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. ES Setif 3–0 MC Oran (17 Apr 2026)
  2. MC Oran 0–0 ES Setif (20 Nov 2025)
  3. ES Setif 1–0 MC Oran (18 Apr 2025)
  4. MC Oran 1–0 ES Setif (07 Nov 2024)
  5. MC Oran 4–1 ES Setif (17 May 2024)
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