MB Rouisset vs USM Alger Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or USM Alger and -3.5 goals
Match prediction
- USM Alger's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head metrics support the double chance, though the model's 45% draw probability signals real caution.
- MB Rouisset's away record of two defeats without scoring explains their low 10% win probability and the advice excluding a home victory.
- Both teams' goal profiles show no match exceeding 3.5 goals, reinforcing the under 3.5 component of the advice.
- USM Alger's unbeaten three-match start contrasts with MB Rouisset's two away losses, supporting the away side's edge in this fixture.
- The head-to-head record favours USM Alger overall, but MB Rouisset's recent 1-0 home win shows the fixture can be tight.
- The Poisson distribution heavily favours the away side, yet the equal 45% draw and away probabilities justify covering both outcomes.
- Predicted winner
- USM Alger
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or USM Alger and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | MB Rouisset | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Attack | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Goals | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| Total | 28.2% | 71.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
MB Rouisset
Recent form: LWL.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
USM Alger
Recent form: DWW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- MB Rouisset 1–0 USM Alger (30 May 2026)
- USM Alger 2–0 MB Rouisset (22 Dec 2025)
- USM Alger 8–0 MB Rouisset (08 Mar 2024)