Poland · III Liga - Group 1

Mławianka Mława vs Swit Prediction

Mławianka Mława badgeMławianka Mława vs Swit badgeSwit

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% Swit split reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double-chance advice is the safer expression of that edge.
  • Swit's superior form and defensive record support their 55.2 total score, though Mlawianka's stronger attack keeps the outright win uncertain.
  • Mlawianka's leaky defence and Swit's away scoring rate make the +1.5 goals component well aligned with both teams' goal profiles.
  • Head-to-head results are volatile, including a 6-0 Mlawianka win, which tempers confidence in Swit despite their recent edge.
  • Mlawianka's poor home record and tendency to concede late support Swit avoiding defeat, but their own scoring threat prevents a clean away pick.
  • The narrow 10% home probability seems harsh given Mlawianka's attack, yet their defensive weakness justifies the model's low home rating.
Predicted winner
Swit
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Swit and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorMławianka MławaSwit
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence28.0%72.0%
Poisson46.0%54.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals55.0%45.0%
Total45.0%55.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Mławianka Mława

Recent form: WLLLDLLLWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Swit

Recent form: WWDLDWLLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Swit 1–1 Mławianka Mława (21 Mar 2026)
  2. Mławianka Mława 3–4 Swit (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Swit 1–1 Mławianka Mława (12 Apr 2025)
  4. Mławianka Mława 6–0 Swit (14 Sep 2024)
  5. Swit 3–0 Mławianka Mława (03 May 2024)
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