NB III - Northeast · Hungary
Mátészalka vs Ózd Sajóvölgye Prediction
Current score: Mátészalka 1–0 Ózd Sajóvölgye (First Half)
Match prediction
The existing model points to an Ózd Sajóvölgye win, with the probabilities split evenly between an away victory and a draw at 50% each and no chance assigned to Mátészalka, so the advice is best read as a lean rather than a confident call. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Ózd Sajóvölgye leads on form (75 versus 25), attack (76 versus 24), defence (69 versus 31) and Poisson (74 versus 26), producing a total of 73.5 against 26.5. The team records tell a similar story: Ózd Sajóvölgye have seven wins and one loss from eight matches with no draws, while Mátészalka have three wins, three draws and two losses, so the visitors' consistency contrasts with a home side that has repeatedly shared points. Ózd Sajóvölgye's goals analysis is the strongest single strand, with 22 goals scored at 2.8 per game and only six conceded at 0.8, including five clean sheets and a 0.5 goals-against average on the road. Mátészalka's numbers are more modest, with 13 goals at 1.6 per game and 11 conceded at 1.4, and their away defensive record of 1.6 goals against per game is the weaker half of that split. The last-five records sharpen the contrast, as Ózd Sajóvölgye have won all five, scoring 20 and conceding four, whereas Mátészalka have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, including a 3-0 defeat at Füzesabony and a 3-1 home loss to Kozarmisleny. Mátészalka's goal timing offers a counterpoint, since 46% of their goals arrive in the 76-90 window, suggesting they can stay in games late even if their overall output is lower. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can either support or undermine the model's preference, and the goals comparison fields for both sides are also zero, meaning those particular metrics add nothing here. Overall, the weight of form, attacking output, defensive solidity and recent results supports the Ózd Sajóvölgye advice, but the 50% draw probability and Mátészalka's habit of drawing and scoring late mean the outcome should be treated as uncertain rather than settled.
- Predicted winner
- Ózd Sajóvölgye
- Betting advice
- Winner : Ózd Sajóvölgye
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Mátészalka | Ózd Sajóvölgye |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Defence | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Poisson | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 26.5% | 73.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Mátészalka
Recent form: DWWLDLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Ózd Sajóvölgye
Recent form: WWLWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


