Italy · Serie D - Girone H

Martina Franca vs Francavilla Prediction

Martina Franca badgeMartina Franca vs Francavilla badgeFrancavilla

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Francavilla's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
  • Martina Franca's superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics align with the home side avoiding defeat, though the draw's equal probability tempers outright-win confidence.
  • Francavilla's four losses in five, with two scoreless home defeats, support the low away probability despite Martina Franca's own recent home loss to them.
  • Martina Franca's 2.20 goals per game against Francavilla's 0.60 suggests the home side's scoring edge, while Francavilla's 1.20 conceded average keeps a draw plausible.
  • The head-to-head record favors Martina Franca overall, but Francavilla's away win in the most recent meeting shows the fixture's volatility.
  • Both teams' tendency toward low-scoring games, with most matches under 2.5 goals, reinforces the draw component of the double-chance advice.
Predicted winner
Martina Franca
Betting advice
Double chance : Martina Franca or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorMartina FrancaFrancavilla
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack79.0%21.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals71.0%29.0%
Total69.8%30.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Martina Franca

Recent form: LWWLW.

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Francavilla

Recent form: WLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Francavilla 1–2 Martina Franca (08 Feb 2026)
  2. Francavilla 1–1 Martina Franca (22 Oct 2025)
  3. Martina Franca 1–0 Francavilla (05 Oct 2025)
  4. Martina Franca 4–0 Francavilla (17 Apr 2025)
  5. Francavilla 1–2 Martina Franca (08 Dec 2024)
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