Martina Franca vs Francavilla Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Francavilla's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
- Martina Franca's superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics align with the home side avoiding defeat, though the draw's equal probability tempers outright-win confidence.
- Francavilla's four losses in five, with two scoreless home defeats, support the low away probability despite Martina Franca's own recent home loss to them.
- Martina Franca's 2.20 goals per game against Francavilla's 0.60 suggests the home side's scoring edge, while Francavilla's 1.20 conceded average keeps a draw plausible.
- The head-to-head record favors Martina Franca overall, but Francavilla's away win in the most recent meeting shows the fixture's volatility.
- Both teams' tendency toward low-scoring games, with most matches under 2.5 goals, reinforces the draw component of the double-chance advice.
- Predicted winner
- Martina Franca
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Martina Franca or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Martina Franca | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Total | 69.8% | 30.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Martina Franca
Recent form: LWWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.
Francavilla
Recent form: WLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Francavilla 1–2 Martina Franca (08 Feb 2026)
- Francavilla 1–1 Martina Franca (22 Oct 2025)
- Martina Franca 1–0 Francavilla (05 Oct 2025)
- Martina Franca 4–0 Francavilla (17 Apr 2025)
- Francavilla 1–2 Martina Franca (08 Dec 2024)


