Maritsa Plovdiv vs Levski Karlovo Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Maritsa Plovdiv a 45% home win chance and 45% draw chance against Levski Karlovo, so the "Maritsa Plovdiv or draw" double chance reflects a combined 90% probability while the away side is left with only 10%. That lopsided split is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Maritsa leads on attack (57 vs 43), defence (56 vs 44), goals (91 vs 9), and total (68 vs 32), and the Poisson and head-to-head columns are even more extreme at 100 versus 0. However, the form columns for both teams read 0.00, which means the form comparison offers no separating signal and should not be read as evidence either way. The team analysis complicates the picture: Maritsa's overall form string is DLLLLLL with no wins in seven matches, one draw and six defeats, while Levski Karlovo's is LLLLLLL with seven losses from seven and no draws at all. Maritsa's goal numbers are less dire than their record suggests, with 4 goals scored and 15 conceded across seven games (0.60 scored and 2.10 conceded per match), whereas Levski have scored just 3 and conceded 18 (0.40 and 2.60 per match), including a 1-5 home loss. The last-five records confirm both sides are struggling, as Maritsa lost all five (including a 3-5 defeat at Rodopa Smolyan and three scoreless home defeats), and Levski also lost all five, conceding four or more in two of them. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to the raw form, since Maritsa have won three of the last four completed meetings, including 2-0 and 4-0 home victories, though Levski won the most recent encounter 2-1 in April 2026 and also won away in 2024. Because both teams arrive with identical zero form values and long losing runs, the model's confidence appears to rest mainly on the historical and comparative goal metrics rather than on current momentum, which makes the double chance a reasonable but not risk-free reading of a low-quality matchup.

Predicted winner

Maritsa Plovdiv

Betting advice

Double chance : Maritsa Plovdiv or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Levski Karlovo 1–2 Maritsa Plovdiv (17 Apr 2026)
2. Maritsa Plovdiv 2–0 Levski Karlovo (04 Oct 2025)
3. Maritsa Plovdiv 4–0 Levski Karlovo (08 Mar 2025)
4. Levski Karlovo 0–1 Maritsa Plovdiv (24 Aug 2024)
5. Levski Karlovo 0–1 Maritsa Plovdiv (16 May 2021)