England · FA Cup

Marine vs Warrington Town Prediction

Marine badgeMarine vs Warrington Town badgeWarrington Town

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even three-way split, with Marine only marginally favoured, makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a genuinely uncertain tie.
  • Warrington's stronger recent form and attack ratings conflict with Marine's head-to-head and Poisson edges, which is why the model stops short of backing a Marine win outright.
  • Marine's only tracked match produced three goals for and two against, while Warrington's fixtures have consistently cleared 1.5 goals, supporting the goals half of the advice.
  • Warrington's away form is the weak point in their profile, with a heavy defeat and a draw on the road tempering the value of their superior overall form.
  • Identical defensive ratings and level total-score contributions indicate no clear edge at either end, reinforcing the caution behind the draw-inclusive selection.
  • Marine's historical dominance in this matchup, including a recent friendly win, underpins the home side's narrow probabilistic advantage despite limited current-season evidence.
Predicted winner
Marine
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Marine or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorMarineWarrington Town
Form30.0%70.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson57.0%43.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Marine

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Warrington Town

Recent form: DWW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Marine 2–1 Warrington Town (28 Jul 2026)
  2. Marine 1–0 Warrington Town (18 Apr 2025)
  3. Warrington Town 0–2 Marine (01 Jan 2025)
  4. Marine 1–2 Warrington Town (10 Apr 2023)
  5. Warrington Town 0–0 Marine (26 Dec 2022)
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