Malmö FF W vs Rosengård W Prediction
· Eleda Stadion
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw probability matches the home win, so the double chance correctly hedges rather than backing Malmö outright.
- Malmö's superior attack, defence, and Poisson ratings align with the advice, though the level probabilities show the model expects a tight contest.
- Rosengård's recent five-match form includes four wins, so their low 10% win probability may understate the away side's current threat.
- Head-to-head strongly favours Malmö, but the most recent meeting was a Rosengård away win, qualifying that historical edge.
- Malmö's defensive record of only three home goals conceded supports the draw-or-home advice by limiting Rosengård's scoring chances.
- Both teams' goal totals cluster under 2.5, suggesting a low-scoring match where the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Predicted winner
- Malmö FF W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Malmö FF W or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
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Prediction comparison
| Factor | Malmö FF W | Rosengård W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| H2h | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Goals | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Total | 69.5% | 30.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Malmö FF W
Recent form: WDWWLLDWDWWLDWDWDWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Rosengård W
Recent form: LLDLLDWLDLWDLLDLWWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Rosengård W 0–1 Malmö FF W (02 May 2026)
- Malmö FF W 2–1 Rosengård W (04 Oct 2025)
- Rosengård W 0–1 Malmö FF W (08 Aug 2025)
- Malmö FF W 1–1 Rosengård W (08 Mar 2025)