England · Non League Premier - Isthmian

Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Welling United and +1.5 goals

Maldon & Tiptree badgeMaldon & Tiptree vs Welling United badgeWelling United

Match prediction

  • Welling's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings justify their clear favourite status, though the model's 45% draw probability tempers outright confidence.
  • Maldon's five straight defeats and leaky defence averaging three goals conceded per game make the +1.5 goals component of the advice well supported.
  • Welling's away form is notably weaker than their home record, with both defeats and a 4-1 loss coming on the road, which explains the cautious double-chance framing.
  • The near-even split between Welling win and draw probabilities, combined with Maldon's low 10% win chance, makes the draw-or-away double chance the logical core of the advice.
  • Maldon's goals-against distribution shows heavy concession in the 46-60 window, suggesting second-half vulnerability that supports the over 1.5 goals expectation.
  • The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests primarily on current form and goal metrics, where Welling's six clean sheets contrast sharply with Maldon's single one.
Predicted winner
Welling United
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Welling United and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorMaldon & TiptreeWelling United
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence21.0%79.0%
Poisson44.0%56.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total33.7%66.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Maldon & Tiptree

Recent form: LWLWWLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Welling United

Recent form: WLWWWLWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Loading interactive prediction…