Maldives vs Lebanon Prediction
Match prediction
- Lebanon's 50% win probability and 50% draw probability leave no room for a Maldives victory, directly supporting the draw-or-Lebanon double chance.
- Maldives' five-match winless run with four defeats and four scoreless games makes their zero home-win probability credible rather than an anomaly.
- Lebanon's recent wins over Brunei and Bhutan show scoring capability, but losses to Yemen and Sudan temper any expectation of a comfortable away victory.
- Maldives have scored just once in five matches while conceding thirteen, so the -3.5 goals line aligns with their limited attacking output.
- Lebanon's head-to-head record and superior comparison metrics outweigh their sparse recent form data, reinforcing the away-side lean.
- The single prior meeting produced only one goal, supporting the under 3.5 selection despite Lebanon's stronger overall profile.
- Predicted winner
- Lebanon
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Lebanon and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Maldives | Lebanon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Maldives
Recent form: LLDLL.
Average goals scored: 0.20 per match.
Lebanon
Recent form: Not available.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Lebanon 1–0 Maldives (28 Jun 2023)