Brazil · Carioca U20

Madureira U20 vs Vasco da Gama U20 Prediction

Madureira U20 badgeMadureira U20 vs Vasco da Gama U20 badgeVasco da Gama U20

Match prediction

  • Vasco's perfect head-to-head record and superior form justify favouring them, though Madureira's five draws in seven matches explains why the draw carries equal probability.
  • Madureira's defensive solidity, conceding only 0.70 goals per game, keeps the draw plausible despite Vasco's attacking edge.
  • Vasco's 2.10 goals per game and three clean sheets reflect a stronger all-round profile, supporting the double-chance advice rather than a straight win.
  • Madureira's tendency to draw, including three consecutive stalemates, directly supports the draw component of the double-chance recommendation.
  • Vasco's away defensive record is weaker, conceding 1.30 per game on the road, which tempers confidence in an outright away victory.
  • The narrow gap between Vasco's 45% win probability and the 45% draw probability confirms the double chance as the more prudent selection.
Predicted winner
Vasco da Gama U20
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Vasco da Gama U20
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorMadureira U20Vasco da Gama U20
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence29.0%71.0%
Poisson32.0%68.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals27.0%73.0%
Total32.6%67.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Madureira U20

Recent form: DDDLWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Vasco da Gama U20

Recent form: WWLWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vasco da Gama U20 3–0 Madureira U20 (25 Mar 2026)
  2. Vasco da Gama U20 2–1 Madureira U20 (13 Sep 2025)
  3. Vasco da Gama U20 2–1 Madureira U20 (15 Jun 2024)
  4. Vasco da Gama U20 4–2 Madureira U20 (29 Mar 2024)
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