Spain · Primera División Femenina
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W Prediction
· Estadio Fernando Torres
Match prediction
- The model gives Athletic Club W and the draw equal 45% shares, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear away edge.
- Madrid CFF W's superior form and Poisson scores conflict with their mere 10% win probability, suggesting the model discounts that recent run.
- Athletic Club W's head-to-head and goals dominance, plus Madrid's heavy away defeat, support the away-or-draw lean.
- Madrid CFF W's perfect home record with two clean sheets shows the 10% home probability may understate their venue resilience.
- Athletic Club W's away scoring is thin, with one goal in two away games, qualifying confidence in an outright away win.
- Both attacks rate equally at 50, so the edge rests on Athletic's defence and history rather than a clear attacking mismatch.
- Predicted winner
- Athletic Club W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Athletic Club W
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Madrid CFF W | Athletic Club W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 84.0% | 16.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Madrid CFF W
Recent form: WWWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Athletic Club W
Recent form: WWDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Athletic Club W 4–1 Madrid CFF W (15 Mar 2026)
- Madrid CFF W 0–2 Athletic Club W (13 Dec 2025)
- Madrid CFF W 1–1 Athletic Club W (19 Apr 2025)
- Athletic Club W 1–0 Madrid CFF W (23 Nov 2024)
- Madrid CFF W 2–1 Athletic Club W (20 Apr 2024)