Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4

Madla vs Brodd Prediction

Madla badgeMadla vs Brodd badgeBrodd

Match prediction

  • Madla's unbeaten home record and zero failed-to-score matches underpin the home-or-draw advice, though the level 45-45 probabilities show the model sees little separation.
  • Brodd's head-to-head edge and superior goals comparison conflict with Madla's stronger form and defensive metrics, justifying caution rather than a straight home win.
  • Madla's attack and defence ratings dwarf Brodd's, but the modest 45% home probability suggests the model already discounts that gap.
  • Brodd's recent five-match run without a win weakens their case, yet their historical record against Madla keeps the draw probability elevated.
  • Both teams' goals cluster late, so a tight, low-scoring contest is plausible, which supports the draw component of the double chance.
  • Madla's only recent loss came against Viking, a stronger side, so their league form remains reliable enough for the double chance to hold.
Predicted winner
Madla
Betting advice
Double chance : Madla or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorMadlaBrodd
Form76.0%24.0%
Attack74.0%26.0%
Defence85.0%15.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals41.0%59.0%
Total64.7%35.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Madla

Recent form: WDWWLWDWDWLDWWWDWWWDW.

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Brodd

Recent form: LLWLLWWWLLDWWDLWWLLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Brodd 3–4 Madla (06 Apr 2026)
  2. Madla 2–2 Brodd (13 Sep 2025)
  3. Brodd 2–2 Madla (31 May 2025)
  4. Brodd 3–1 Madla (06 Jul 2024)
  5. Madla 0–3 Brodd (30 May 2024)
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