Israel · Liga Alef

Maccabi Yavne vs Ironi Beit Shemesh Prediction

Maccabi Yavne badgeMaccabi Yavne vs Ironi Beit Shemesh badgeIroni Beit Shemesh

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away win is rated a distant 10%.
  • Maccabi Yavne's defensive score of 80 against Beit Shemesh's 20 is the clearest split, supporting the home side's edge.
  • Yavne's two home clean sheets and zero home goals conceded reinforce that defensive gap, though the small four-match sample tempers certainty.
  • Beit Shemesh concede two goals per game on average, so their leaky defence makes an away win unlikely despite a recent 1-0 victory.
  • Both attacks rate equally at 50, which explains why the draw carries the same probability as a home win rather than a clear home edge.
  • The lone head-to-head, a 9-1 Yavne win, is too small a sample to weight heavily but aligns with the model's home-leaning output.
Predicted winner
Maccabi Yavne
Betting advice
Double chance : Maccabi Yavne or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorMaccabi YavneIroni Beit Shemesh
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence80.0%20.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals90.0%10.0%
Total69.0%31.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Maccabi Yavne

Recent form: WLDD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Ironi Beit Shemesh

Recent form: LLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Maccabi Yavne 9–1 Ironi Beit Shemesh (26 Dec 2023)
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