Israel · Liga Alef

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya Prediction

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi badgeMaccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya badgeHapoel Herzliya

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the home side is given only a 10% chance.
  • Hapoel Herzliya's head-to-head record and superior goals share support the away lean, though recent meetings have mostly ended level.
  • Both teams arrive unbeaten with identical form scores, so the draw component of the double chance is well grounded.
  • Kiryat Malachi's stronger attack and Poisson rating conflict with the model's low home probability, suggesting the home threat is underweighted.
  • Herzliya's tighter defence and two clean sheets offset Kiryat Malachi's scoring edge, keeping the away side favoured overall.
  • Kiryat Malachi's goals cluster late while Herzliya concede early, a timing pattern that could unsettle the clean away prediction.
Predicted winner
Hapoel Herzliya
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Hapoel Herzliya
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorMaccabi Kiryat MalachiHapoel Herzliya
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson63.0%37.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals22.0%78.0%
Total44.2%55.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

Recent form: DWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

Hapoel Herzliya

Recent form: WWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Hapoel Herzliya —–— Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (06 Mar 2026)
  2. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1–1 Hapoel Herzliya (07 Nov 2025)
  3. Hapoel Herzliya 1–1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (28 Feb 2025)
  4. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0–1 Hapoel Herzliya (05 Nov 2024)
  5. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0–4 Hapoel Herzliya (15 Mar 2024)
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